Pianese vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
The Footlab AI model makes Pianese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pianese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pianese vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Pianese (1,800) and Ostia Mare (1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pianese vs Ostia Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pianese
4-3-3- 11L. Bellini
- 10S. Ianesi
- 37L. Di Cosmo
- 27M. Bertini
- 30Francesco Proietto
- 21M. Tirelli
- 23Nicola Pintus
- 19G. Morelli
- 15M. Gorelli
- 56L. Masetti
- 1G. Astaldi
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pianese have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Ostia Mare have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pianese win, 1 draw, 1 Ostia Mare win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ostia Mare 0-0 Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Pianese 0-3 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Ostia Mare 0-1 Pianese | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ostia Mare vs Pianese on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pianese score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pianese | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pianese sit 16th in Serie C - Girone B (8 points from 10 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 15th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Pianese vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pianese vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pianese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Pianese vs Ostia Mare played?
- Pianese vs Ostia Mare is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.