Gubbio vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Spezia?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 92E. Baldini
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 67F. Carraro
- 27L. Podda
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 6O. Barry
- 1N. Bagnolini
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Spezia have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gubbio wins, 0 draws, 1 Spezia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia 2-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spezia | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 9 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (25 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Gubbio vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Spezia played?
- Gubbio vs Spezia is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.