Pineto vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto
The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pineto vs Vado?
Vado starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vado have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 0-6 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 30, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 24, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vado | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pineto sit 14th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Vado sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Vado?
- The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Pineto vs Vado played?
- Pineto vs Vado is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.