Spezia vs Pianese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pianese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Pianese?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Spezia (1,809) and Pianese (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pianese have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 10th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Pianese sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Pianese?
- The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pianese.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Pianese played?
- Spezia vs Pianese is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.