Pinneberg vs Concordia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Concordia. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinneberg vs Concordia?
Pinneberg starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Concordia have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 4-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Alsterbrüder(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinneberg score 3.2 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 5; Concordia score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinneberg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| Concordia | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Concordia | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 88 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs Concordia?
- The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Pinneberg vs Concordia played?
- Pinneberg vs Concordia is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.