Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 12% for Sasel. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf?
Tus Dassendorf starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,058 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tus Dassendorf have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sasel win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Tus Dassendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasel 1-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 6-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Sasel 0-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tus Dassendorf 4-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Sasel 1-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Tus Dassendorf 2-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd (76 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 12% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf played?
- Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf is played on November 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.