Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar: result 1-3 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 6, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
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What was the result of Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar?
Nesebar won 1-3 on October 6, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 3 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Nesebar have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Sep 27, 2018 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Litex(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Kariana Erden(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | Litex(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Strumska Slava(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Kariana Erden(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Botev Galabovo(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 11; Nesebar score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/11 | 7/11 |
| Nesebar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy