Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Birmingham Legion. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Birmingham Legion have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brooklyn(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charleston Battery(home) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sacramento Republic(home) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oakland Roots(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting JAX(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rhode Island(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Louisville City(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 12, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 3-1 | USL League One Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Birmingham Legion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Birmingham Legion 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Birmingham Legion 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Birmingham Legion 0-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| May 13, 2023 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham Legion vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Birmingham Legion | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th in USL Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Birmingham Legion sit 10th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 33 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?
- The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Birmingham Legion.
- Where and when is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion played?
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Highmark Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots