Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Highmark Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Hartford Athletic. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Pittsburgh Riverhounds (1,824) and Hartford Athletic (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hartford Athletic have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brooklyn(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charleston Battery(home) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sacramento Republic(home) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oakland Roots(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 4-2 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Indy Eleven(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hartford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Hartford Athletic 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Hartford Athletic 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Hartford Athletic 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hartford Athletic score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Hartford Athletic | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th in USL Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Hartford Athletic sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 33 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Hartford Athletic.
- Where and when is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic played?
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Highmark Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots