Plasencia vs Villafranca: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, Plasencia
The Footlab model makes Plasencia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Villafranca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plasencia vs Villafranca?
Villafranca starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plasencia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Villafranca have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Llerenense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Fuente Cantos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | La Estrella(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Miajadas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Olivenza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Diocesano(away) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Plasencia win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Villafranca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Villafranca 1-0 Plasencia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Plasencia 0-1 Villafranca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Plasencia 0-1 Villafranca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Villafranca 2-0 Plasencia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Villafranca vs Plasencia on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Plasencia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villafranca score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plasencia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Villafranca | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plasencia vs Villafranca?
- The Footlab model makes Plasencia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Villafranca.
- Where and when is Plasencia vs Villafranca played?
- Plasencia vs Villafranca is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Plasencia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.