Jaraíz vs Jerez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, Jaraíz de la Vera
The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Jerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaraíz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaraíz vs Jerez?
On Elo ratings, Jaraíz has 1,837 points and Jerez 1,771.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaraíz vs Jerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaraíz
Not enough data to predict the Jaraíz lineup.
Jerez
Not enough data to predict the Jerez lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraíz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Jerez have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Castuera(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Jaraíz wins, 1 draw, 1 Jerez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Jerez 2-2 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Jaraíz 2-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Jerez 2-3 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Jaraíz 2-1 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Jaraíz 2-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Jerez 3-1 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaraíz score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jerez score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaraíz | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Jerez | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaraíz sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (5 points from 6 matches) and Jerez sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jerez | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Jaraíz | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Jaraíz vs Jerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaraíz vs Jerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Jerez.
- Where and when is Jaraíz vs Jerez played?
- Jaraíz vs Jerez is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.