Match

Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, Mallorca

Platges CalviàPE Sant Jordi

The Footlab model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for PE Sant Jordi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi?

Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,666).

Platges Calvià win52 %
Draw25 %
PE Sant Jordi win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platges Calvià have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; PE Sant Jordi have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Platges Calvià
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cardassar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
May 3, 2026Manacor(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 26, 2026Mercadal(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 22, 2026Felanitx(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 19, 2026Binissalem(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Constància(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
May 4, 2025Porreres(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 26, 2025Binissalem(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 16, 2025Portmany(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 12, 2025Manacor(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Platges Calvià win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 PE Sant Jordi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 19, 2025Platges Calvià 2-0 PE Sant JordiTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 8, 2024PE Sant Jordi 0-2 Platges CalviàTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Mar 5, 2023Platges Calvià 3-2 PE Sant JordiTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 29, 2022PE Sant Jordi 0-1 Platges CalviàTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 14, 2022Platges Calvià 2-0 PE Sant JordiTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Dec 12, 2021PE Sant Jordi 0-1 Platges CalviàTercera División RFEF - Group 11

Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi on Jan 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Platges Calvià score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PE Sant Jordi score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Platges Calvià1.11.364/157/15
PE Sant Jordi1.21.719/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Platges Calvià3412616414242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi?
The Footlab model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for PE Sant Jordi.
Where and when is Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi played?
Platges Calvià vs PE Sant Jordi is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Platges Calvià and PE Sant Jordi

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