Andratx vs Mercadal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Sa Plana, Andratx
The Footlab AI model makes Andratx the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Andratx wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andratx vs Mercadal?
On Elo ratings, Andratx has 1,797 points and Mercadal 1,737.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Andratx vs Mercadal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Andratx
Not enough data to predict the Andratx lineup.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andratx have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mercadal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Andratx win, 0 draws, 1 Mercadal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Mercadal 2-1 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Andratx 2-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Andratx score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andratx | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Andratx sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Mercadal sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Andratx | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Andratx vs Mercadal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andratx vs Mercadal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Andratx the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Andratx vs Mercadal played?
- Andratx vs Mercadal is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Sa Plana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.