Plymouth vs Cardiff: result 5-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
Full time
What was the result of Plymouth vs Cardiff?
Plymouth won 5-2 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 28′L. TolajPlymouth
- 31′A. PepplePlymouth
- 33′O. KellymanCardiff
- 34′A. PepplePlymouth
- 43′O. KellymanCardiff
- 68′L. TolajPlymouth (pen.)
- 81′M. RossPlymouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cardiff have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 1-4 | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Luton(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 4-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Plymouth win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cardiff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Cardiff 4-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Plymouth 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy