Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 Plymouth | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Plymouth | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Plymouth 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Plymouth 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Sheffield Wednesday on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.