Plymouth vs Carlisle: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
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What was the result of Plymouth vs Carlisle?
Plymouth won 1-0 on October 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 15′L. AlessandraPlymouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2014 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Hartlepool(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Tranmere(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Mansfield Town(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy