Plymouth vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 7, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
Full time
What was the result of Plymouth vs Derby?
Plymouth won 2-1 on March 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
- 59′C. WrightPlymouth
- 70′R. HardiePlymouth (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 2-5 | League One |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Oxford United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Barnsley(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Lincoln(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Plymouth win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2022 | Derby 2-3 Plymouth | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 2.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy