Plymouth vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,902) and Leicester (1,843).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plymouth vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plymouth
3-4-3- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 10X. Amaechi
- 7H. White
- 19T. Bakinson
- 8J. Edwards
- 11R. Curtis
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 1M. Mahoney
Leicester
3-4-2-1- 17E. Riis
- 33L. Thomas
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 27K. Doyle
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Plymouth win, 0 draws, 2 Leicester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Leicester 2-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Plymouth 1-0 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Leicester 4-0 Plymouth | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Leicester | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 5th in League One (23 points from 14 matches) and Leicester sit 10th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
A question about Plymouth vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Leicester played?
- Plymouth vs Leicester is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.