Match

Plymouth vs Leicester: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth

PlymouthLeicester

The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Plymouth vs Leicester?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,902) and Leicester (1,843).

47%26%27%
Plymouth winDrawLeicester win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Plymouth vs Leicester

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Plymouth

3-4-3
  1. 9W. Evans
  2. 27A. Pepple
  3. 10X. Amaechi
  1. 7H. White
  2. 19T. Bakinson
  3. 8J. Edwards
  4. 11R. Curtis
  1. 45W. Harding
  2. 15A. Mitchell
  3. 5Julio Pleguezuelo
  1. 1M. Mahoney

Leicester

3-4-2-1
  1. 17E. Riis
  1. 33L. Thomas
  2. 37W. Alves
  3. 25L. Page
  4. 27K. Doyle
  5. 6J. Lundstram
  6. 36S. Braybrooke
  1. 16W. O'Hora
  2. 5C. Okoli
  3. 15H. Souttar
  1. 29A. McCarthy

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Plymouth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Reading(home)0-0League One
Oct 24, 2026Cambridge United(away)3-2League One
Oct 20, 2026Stevenage(away)0-3League One
Oct 17, 2026Huddersfield(home)0-2League One
Oct 10, 2026AFC Wimbledon(home)2-1League One
Leicester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Stevenage(home)2-2League One
Oct 27, 2026Wigan(home)3-0League One
Oct 24, 2026Luton(away)1-2League One
Oct 20, 2026Bromley(away)4-0League One
Oct 17, 2026Doncaster(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Plymouth win, 0 draws, 2 Leicester wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 1, 2026Leicester 2-0 PlymouthLeague One
Apr 12, 2024Plymouth 1-0 LeicesterChampionship
Dec 9, 2023Leicester 4-0 PlymouthChampionship

Last archived meeting: Leicester vs Plymouth on Sep 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Plymouth1.91.547/159/15
Leicester1.91.6410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Plymouth sit 5th in League One (23 points from 14 matches) and Leicester sit 10th (19 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Plymouth14725211923
10Leicester13544221919

A question about Plymouth vs Leicester?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Leicester?
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Leicester.
Where and when is Plymouth vs Leicester played?
Plymouth vs Leicester is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Plymouth and Leicester

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