AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,810) and Burton Albion (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1- 9J. Stockley
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 5O. Harrison
- 3S. Seddon
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 15F. Simmonds
- 39J. Bursik
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 14W. Collar
- 16C. Tilt
- 12G. Evans
- 6T. Sibbick
- 34C. Addai
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Burton Albion have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 AFC Wimbledon wins, 2 draws, 4 Burton Albion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Burton Albion 4-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Burton Albion 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Oct 2, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Mar 9, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 16th in League One (12 points from 11 matches) and Burton Albion sit 14th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 12 |
A question about AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.