AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate AFC Wimbledon (1,730) and Burton Albion (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Wimbledon have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | QPR(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 AFC Wimbledon win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Burton Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Burton Albion 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Oct 2, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Mar 9, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Burton Albion 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Burton Albion sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion played?
- AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.