Plymouth vs Morecambe: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 5, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
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What was the result of Plymouth vs Morecambe?
Plymouth and Morecambe drew 1-1 on November 5, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 31′Simon WaltonPlymouth
- 90′Nick FentonMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Oxford United(away) | 1-5 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | Gillingham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Rotherham(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Port Vale(away) | 4-0 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Southend(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2011 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Morecambe | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy