Plymouth vs Rochdale: result 3-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 20, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
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What was the result of Plymouth vs Rochdale?
Plymouth won 3-1 on October 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 4′Guy Bertrand MadjoPlymouth (pen.)
- 6′Andrés GurrieriPlymouth
- 75′B. AdebolaRochdale
- 90′Guy Bertrand MadjoPlymouth (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Rochdale have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Barnet(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2012 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2012 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Southend(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Morecambe(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Bury(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Accrington ST(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2012 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Gillingham(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy