Plymouth vs Welling United: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd RoundKick-off on December 7, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
Full time
What was the result of Plymouth vs Welling United?
Plymouth won 3-1 on December 7, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 13′Andrés GurrieriPlymouth
- 18′C. NelsonPlymouth
- 21′L. AlessandraPlymouth
- 53′Ross LafayetteWelling United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Welling United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2013 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Nov 20, 2013 | Lincoln(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 16, 2013 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Braintree(away) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 12, 2013 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Welling United | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy