Dulwich Hamlet vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Champion Hill Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Dulwich Hamlet the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dulwich Hamlet vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Dulwich Hamlet (1,785) and Welling United (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dulwich Hamlet have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dulwich Hamlet win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Welling United 2-0 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Dulwich Hamlet 3-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet | National League - South |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Welling United | National League - South |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Welling United 1-3 Dulwich Hamlet | National League - South |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Dulwich Hamlet 0-1 Welling United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dulwich Hamlet score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dulwich Hamlet | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dulwich Hamlet sit 10th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dulwich Hamlet vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Dulwich Hamlet the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Dulwich Hamlet vs Welling United played?
- Dulwich Hamlet vs Welling United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Champion Hill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.