Where and when is Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň

Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda

The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FK Crvena Zvezda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Plzen (2,053) and FK Crvena Zvezda (2,043).

Plzen win49 %

Draw25 %

FK Crvena Zvezda win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Plzen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FK Crvena Zvezda(away)	0-3	UEFA Europa League
Aug 15, 2026	Zlin(home)	3-2	Czech Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Teplice(away)	5-5	Czech Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Zbrojovka Brno(home)	1-1	Czech Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Slovan Liberec(home)	1-3	Czech Liga

FK Crvena Zvezda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Plzen(home)	3-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 11, 2026	Hapoel Beer Sheva(home)	0-2	UEFA Champions League
Aug 8, 2026	Novi Pazar(home)	2-0	Super Liga
Aug 4, 2026	Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)	0-1	UEFA Champions League
Jul 29, 2026	Larne(home)	5-0	UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Plzen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen	UEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen on Aug 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Plzen	2.1	1.8	4	9/15	9/15
FK Crvena Zvezda	1.9	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Plzen sit 14th in UEFA Europa League (14 points from 8 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 15th (14 points from 8 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	8	3	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	4	2	2	7	6	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?: The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FK Crvena Zvezda.
Where and when is Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?: Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.