Match

Plzen vs Benfica: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň

PlzenBenfica

The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Plzen. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Plzen vs Benfica?

Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,460 Elo points against 2,124, a 336-point gap.

14%21%65%
Plzen winDrawBenfica win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Plzen vs Benfica

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Plzen

4-2-3-1
  1. 25C. Kabongo
  1. 17P. Hrošovský
  2. 99A. Memić
  3. 12A. Sojka
  4. 36S. Pirgić
  5. 19C. Souaré
  1. 14Merchas Doski
  2. 40S. Dweh
  3. 98F. Prebsl
  4. 29A. Gabriel
  1. 44F. Wiegele

Benfica

4-2-3-1
  1. 14V. Pavlidis
  1. 36João Palhinha
  2. 27Rafa
  3. 25G. Prestianni
  4. 18L. Barreiro
  5. 10H. Sudakov
  1. 44Tomás Araújo
  2. 26S. Dahl
  3. 6A. Bah
  4. 3A. Circati
  1. 24Samuel Soares

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Plzen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mlada Boleslav(home)3-0Czech Liga
Sep 20, 2026Slavia Praha(away)1-2Czech Liga
Sep 17, 2026Union St. Gilloise(home)0-3UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026Sigma Olomouc(home)2-3Czech Liga
Sep 9, 2026Hradec Králové(away)0-0Czech Liga
Benfica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Guimaraes(home)2-0Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026FC Porto(away)1-3Primeira Liga
Sep 16, 2026AC Milan(away)2-0UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026GIL Vicente(home)3-1Primeira Liga
Sep 9, 2026Moreirense(away)4-0Primeira Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Plzen score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Plzen2.01.949/1511/15
Benfica3.30.869/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Plzen sit 34th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Benfica sit 7th (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Benfica1100203
34Plzen1001030

A question about Plzen vs Benfica?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Benfica?
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Plzen.
Where and when is Plzen vs Benfica played?
Plzen vs Benfica is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Plzen and Benfica

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