Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,851) and Olimpia Grudziądz (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsSokół Kleczew
- Mar 13, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsResovia Rzeszów
- Mar 13, 2027Tychy 71vsŚwit Skolwin
- Mar 13, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Mar 13, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsGórnik Łęczna
- Mar 13, 2027Stal Stalowa WolavsHutnik Kraków
- Mar 13, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsAvia Świdnik