Match

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ

Podhale Nowy TargOlimpia Grudziądz

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,851) and Olimpia Grudziądz (1,922).

Podhale Nowy Targ win32 %
Draw24 %
Olimpia Grudziądz win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East
Olimpia Grudziądz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)2-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Tychy 71(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Świt Skolwin(home)5-3Cup
Aug 1, 2026Lechia Zielona Góra(away)2-2II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ 1-2 Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East
Aug 10, 2025Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15
Olimpia Grudziądz1.91.5410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Olimpia Grudziądz5221788
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podhale Nowy Targ and Olimpia Grudziądz

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