Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Olimpia Grudziądz (1,924) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Aug 29, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsZnicz Pruszków
- Aug 29, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Aug 29, 2026Sokół KleczewvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Aug 29, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Aug 29, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsLegia Warszawa II
- Aug 30, 2026Świt SkolwinvsTychy 71
- Aug 30, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsRekord Bielsko-Biała