Match

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz

Olimpia GrudziądzPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Olimpia Grudziądz (1,924) and Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853).

Olimpia Grudziądz win58 %
Draw21 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Grudziądz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)2-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Tychy 71(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Świt Skolwin(home)5-3Cup
Aug 1, 2026Lechia Zielona Góra(away)2-2II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ 1-2 Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East
Aug 10, 2025Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Grudziądz1.91.5410/1510/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Olimpia Grudziądz5221788
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olimpia Grudziądz and Podhale Nowy Targ

Ready to know everything about football?