Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin?
Podhale Nowy Targ starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Świt Skolwin have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Świt Skolwin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ 3-1 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Świt Skolwin 3-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Świt Skolwin sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin?
- The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 31, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Oct 31, 2026Tychy 71vsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 31, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsZnicz Pruszków
- Oct 31, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 31, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsResovia Rzeszów
- Oct 31, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsSokół Kleczew
- Oct 31, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsZawisza Bydgoszcz