Match

Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, Bydgoszcz

Zawisza BydgoszczPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,853).

Zawisza Bydgoszcz win56 %
Draw23 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avia Świdnik(away)4-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Lechia Zielona Góra(home)2-1II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-0II Liga - East
Aug 2, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)0-3II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)1-1II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1.91.158/159/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Zawisza Bydgoszcz53118610
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zawisza Bydgoszcz and Podhale Nowy Targ

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