Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsZnicz Pruszków
- Nov 21, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsGórnik Łęczna
- Nov 21, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsResovia Rzeszów
- Nov 21, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Nov 21, 2026Świt SkolwinvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 21, 2026Sokół KleczewvsTychy 71
- Nov 21, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsLegia Warszawa II