Pohronie vs Malženice: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom, Žiar nad Hronom
The Footlab model makes Pohronie the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Malženice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pohronie vs Malženice?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Pohronie (1,660) and Malženice (1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pohronie have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Malženice have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(away) | 3-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Šoporňa(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(away) | 1-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(home) | 4-2 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pohronie win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Malženice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Pohronie 4-2 Malženice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Malženice 0-0 Pohronie | 2. liga |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Pohronie 0-0 Malženice | 2. liga |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pohronie 2-0 Malženice | 2. liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Malženice 2-2 Pohronie | 2. liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Pohronie 1-0 Malženice | 2. liga |
Last archived meeting: Pohronie vs Malženice on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pohronie score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malženice score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohronie | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Malženice | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pohronie sit 8th in 2. liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Malženice sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pohronie | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Malženice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pohronie vs Malženice?
- The Footlab model makes Pohronie the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Malženice.
- Where and when is Pohronie vs Malženice played?
- Pohronie vs Malženice is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.