Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Chemlonský štadión, Humenné
The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Zlaté Moravce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Humenné (1,738) and Zlaté Moravce (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humenné have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Zlaté Moravce have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Snina(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MFK Bytča(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina II(home) | 0-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Humenné win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zlaté Moravce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Zlaté Moravce 4-0 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Humenné 0-1 Zlaté Moravce | 2. liga |
Last archived meeting: Zlaté Moravce vs Humenné on Mar 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Humenné score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zlaté Moravce score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humenné | 2.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Zlaté Moravce | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humenné sit 10th in 2. liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Zlaté Moravce sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Humenné | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Zlaté Moravce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce?
- The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Zlaté Moravce.
- Where and when is Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce played?
- Humenné vs Zlaté Moravce is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Chemlonský štadión, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.