Poland vs Armenia: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
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What was the result of Poland vs Armenia?
Poland won 2-1 on October 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 48′H. MkoyanPoland (o.g.)
- 50′Marcos Piñeiro PizzelliArmenia
- 90′R. LewandowskiPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Poland have 3 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Armenia have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Denmark(home) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Kazakhstan(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Portugal(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Switzerland(away) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Ukraine(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Romania(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Denmark(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Armenia score 0.0 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/13 | 4/13 |
| Armenia | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poland sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (17 points from 8 matches) and Armenia sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy