Polissya II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polissya II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Polissya II (1,658) and Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polissya II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv Kyiv have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chernihiv(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Polissya II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polissya II sit 15th in Persha Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polissya II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Kyiv.
- Where and when is Polissya II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv played?
- Polissya II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.