Match

Pollok vs Renfrew: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Newlandsfield Park, Glasgow

PollokRenfrew

The Footlab model makes Pollok the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pollok vs Renfrew?

Pollok starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,531).

Pollok win51 %
Draw22 %
Renfrew win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pollok have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pollok
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(home)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Newton Stewart(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Renfrew(away)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Troon FC(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Renfrew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Troon FC(away)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Celtic II(home)3-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Pollok(home)1-4Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Pollok win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Renfrew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 2026Renfrew 1-4 PollokFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Renfrew vs Pollok on Jul 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pollok score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pollok2.11.358/1510/15
Renfrew1.53.305/65/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pollok sit 5th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 5 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Pollok541013413
30Renfrew60159201

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pollok vs Renfrew?
The Footlab model makes Pollok the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Renfrew.
Where and when is Pollok vs Renfrew played?
Pollok vs Renfrew is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Newlandsfield Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pollok and Renfrew

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