Ponta Porã vs Comercial MS: result 1-3 and analysis
Sul-Matogrossense1st Round - 8Kick-off on March 8, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Aral Moreira, Ponta Porã, Mato Grosso do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Ponta Porã vs Comercial MS?
Comercial MS won 1-3 on March 8, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ponta Porã have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Comercial MS have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | Aquidauanense(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Chapadão(home) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Maracaju(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Nova Andradina(away) | 0-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 5, 2020 | Costa Rica (home) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | Costa Rica (home) | 1-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Corumbaense(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 2-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Aquidauanense(away) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Chapadão(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ponta Porã score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 7; Comercial MS score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponta Porã | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| Comercial MS | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy