Ponte Preta vs Guarany de Bagé: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilRound of 128Kick-off on March 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ponte Preta vs Guarany de Bagé?
Ponte Preta won 1-0 on March 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 48′BryanPonte Preta
Official lineup for Ponte Preta vs Guarany de Bagé
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ponte Preta
4-2-3-1- 9William Pottker
- 7Diego Tavares
- 10Élvis
- 31Bryan
- 38Tárik
- 5Rodrigo Souza
- 32Kevyson
- 3Lucas Cunha
- 33David Braz
- 28Pacheco
- 12Diogo Silva
Guarany de Bagé
4-2-3-1- 21Ruan
- 7Marquinhos
- 10Silas
- 11Tony Junior
- 17Marcos Antonio
- 19Paulinho Souza
- 6Oliveira Vitor
- 15Jean Martim
- 13Alberte
- 22Raphinha
- 12Thiago Gonçalves
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponte Preta have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guarany de Bagé have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Noroeste(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Monsoon(away) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Avenida(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Caxias(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Inter Santa Maria(away) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Inter Santa Maria(home) | 3-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte Preta score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guarany de Bagé score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Guarany de Bagé | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy