Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Operario-PR wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?
Operario-PR starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,504).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ponte Preta
3-4-1-2- 9Brandão
- 18David da Hora
- 3Lucas Cunha
- 5Rodrigo Souza
- 13Diego Porfírio
- 2Julio
- 16Juan
- 14Danilo Barcelos
- 44Gustavo Almeida
- 23S. Palacios
- 30Vinicius
Operario-PR
4-2-3-1- 99Caio Dantas
- 20Vinícius Diniz
- 14Hildeberto Pereira
- 39Matheus Trindade
- 10Boschilia
- 11Aylon
- 2Mikael Doka
- 43Joseph
- 22J. Cuenú
- 27Gabriel Feliciano
- 33Vagner
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponte Preta have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Operario-PR have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CRB(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Botafogo SP(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 3-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ponte Preta wins, 1 draw, 3 Operario-PR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Operario-PR 3-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ponte Preta 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| May 11, 2024 | Operario-PR 1-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Ponte Preta 3-0 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Operario-PR 2-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Operario-PR 1-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte Preta score 0.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Operario-PR score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Operario-PR | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte Preta sit 20th in Serie B (13 points from 32 matches) and Operario-PR sit 9th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 48 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | 13 |
A question about Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR played?
- Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR is played on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.