Pontevedra II vs Estradense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Estradense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra II vs Estradense?
On Elo ratings, Pontevedra II has 1,623 points and Estradense 1,778.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra II vs Estradense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra II
Not enough data to predict the Pontevedra II lineup.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Estradense have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antela(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silva(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pontevedra II win, 0 draws, 1 Estradense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Estradense 2-1 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Pontevedra II 2-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estradense vs Pontevedra II on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra II score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and Estradense sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Estradense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | Pontevedra II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Pontevedra II vs Estradense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra II vs Estradense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Estradense.
- Where and when is Pontevedra II vs Estradense played?
- Pontevedra II vs Estradense is played on May 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.