Barco vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, O Barco de Valdeorras
The Footlab AI model makes Barco the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Celta de Vigo III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,504 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barco vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Barco (1,754) and Celta de Vigo III (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barco vs Celta de Vigo III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barco have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Barco win, 1 draw, 2 Celta de Vigo III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 4-2 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Barco 1-2 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Barco 1-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo III vs Barco on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barco sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 12 | Celta de Vigo III | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Barco vs Celta de Vigo III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barco vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barco the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Celta de Vigo III.
- Where and when is Barco vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Barco vs Celta de Vigo III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.