Pontevedra II vs Sarriana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Pontevedra II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarriana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra II vs Sarriana?
Sarriana starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra II vs Sarriana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra II
Not enough data to predict the Pontevedra II lineup.
Sarriana
Not enough data to predict the Sarriana lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Sarriana have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antela(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silva(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Pontevedra II wins, 0 draws, 3 Sarriana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarriana 3-1 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Pontevedra II 0-1 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Sarriana 5-0 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sarriana vs Pontevedra II on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra II score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarriana score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarriana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and Sarriana sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sarriana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Pontevedra II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Pontevedra II vs Sarriana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra II vs Sarriana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Pontevedra II.
- Where and when is Pontevedra II vs Sarriana played?
- Pontevedra II vs Sarriana is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.