Barco vs Celtiga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, O Barco de Valdeorras
The Footlab AI model makes Barco the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barco vs Celtiga?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Barco (1,757) and Celtiga (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barco vs Celtiga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barco have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Celtiga have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Barco wins, 0 draws, 0 Celtiga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Celtiga 3-5 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Barco 2-1 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celtiga score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Celtiga | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barco sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Celtiga sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Barco vs Celtiga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barco vs Celtiga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barco the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Barco vs Celtiga played?
- Barco vs Celtiga is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.