Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B · Matchday 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pontivy GSI. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayonne wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,076 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne?
Bayonne starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontivy GSI
Not enough data to predict the Pontivy GSI lineup.
Bayonne
Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bayonne have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontivy GSI score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayonne score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontivy GSI | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bayonne | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontivy GSI sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (5 points from 9 matches) and Bayonne sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bayonne | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 15 | Pontivy GSI | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Pontivy GSI.
- Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne played?
- Pontivy GSI vs Bayonne is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.