Saumur vs Les Herbiers: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Les Herbiers?
Les Herbiers starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Les Herbiers have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saumur win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Les Herbiers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Saumur 3-0 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Les Herbiers 1-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| May 10, 2025 | Saumur 0-3 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Les Herbiers 6-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Saumur 2-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Les Herbiers 2-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Saumur vs Les Herbiers on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Les Herbiers score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Les Herbiers | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Les Herbiers sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Les Herbiers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Les Herbiers?
- The Footlab model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Les Herbiers played?
- Saumur vs Les Herbiers is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.