Saumur vs Les Herbiers: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Les Herbiers wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Les Herbiers?
Les Herbiers starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Les Herbiers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Les Herbiers
4-3-3- 11A. Vincent
- 13R. Denis
- 17A. Fiquet
- 2B. Brélivet
- 9J. Billy
- 8B. Lebas
- 3A. Tégar
- 4M. Lopy
- 10J. Rissonga
- 14Y. Letard
- 1B. Rempp
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Les Herbiers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Granville(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saumur win, 1 draw, 4 Les Herbiers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Saumur 3-0 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Les Herbiers 1-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| May 10, 2025 | Saumur 0-3 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Les Herbiers 6-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Saumur 2-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Les Herbiers 2-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Saumur vs Les Herbiers on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Les Herbiers score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Les Herbiers | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (7 points from 7 matches) and Les Herbiers sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Les Herbiers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Saumur vs Les Herbiers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Les Herbiers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Les Herbiers played?
- Saumur vs Les Herbiers is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.