Match

Pontivy GSI vs Les Herbiers: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group BGroup B - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy

Pontivy GSILes Herbiers

The Footlab model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pontivy GSI. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Les Herbiers?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,740) and Les Herbiers (1,833).

Pontivy GSI win34 %
Draw28 %
Les Herbiers win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Les Herbiers have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontivy GSI
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Saint-Malo(away)1-1National 2 - Group B
Jul 31, 2026Concarneau(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Vannes(home)3-2National 3 - Group C
May 9, 2026Vire(away)0-0National 3 - Group C
Apr 25, 2026Ergué-Gaberic(home)3-0National 3 - Group C
Les Herbiers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Saint-Colomban Locminé(away)1-1National 2 - Group B
Jul 22, 2026Angers(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Châteaubriant(home)3-0National 2 - Group A
May 9, 2026Bordeaux(away)0-1National 2 - Group A
May 2, 2026Avranches(home)3-3National 2 - Group A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pontivy GSI win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Les Herbiers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2015Les Herbiers 0-1 Pontivy GSINational 2 - Group D
Aug 30, 2014Pontivy GSI 0-1 Les HerbiersNational 2 - Group D
May 10, 2014Pontivy GSI 1-4 Les HerbiersNational 2 - Group D
Jan 11, 2014Les Herbiers 0-0 Pontivy GSINational 2 - Group D
May 11, 2013Les Herbiers 3-0 Pontivy GSINational 2 - Group D
Jan 12, 2013Pontivy GSI 1-0 Les HerbiersNational 2 - Group D

Last archived meeting: Les Herbiers vs Pontivy GSI on Jan 31, 2015

How many goals should we expect?

Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Les Herbiers score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontivy GSI1.71.368/159/15
Les Herbiers1.71.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontivy GSI sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Les Herbiers sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Les Herbiers1010111
7Pontivy GSI1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Les Herbiers?
The Footlab model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pontivy GSI.
Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Les Herbiers played?
Pontivy GSI vs Les Herbiers is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontivy GSI and Les Herbiers

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