Saint-Malo vs Lorient II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marville, Saint-Malo
The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Lorient II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Malo vs Lorient II?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Malo have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Lorient II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Saint-Malo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lorient II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Lorient II 3-0 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Saint-Malo 4-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Saint-Malo 1-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Lorient II 0-2 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Lorient II 2-0 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Saint-Malo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Malo score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient II score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Malo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Lorient II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Malo sit 8th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Lorient II sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lorient II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Malo vs Lorient II?
- The Footlab model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Lorient II.
- Where and when is Saint-Malo vs Lorient II played?
- Saint-Malo vs Lorient II is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marville, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.