Popayan vs Envigado: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 3Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Envigado wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Popayan vs Envigado?
Envigado starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,622 vs 1,507).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Popayan vs Envigado
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Popayan
4-3-3- 18H. Mosquera
- 7J. Cuero
- 21P. Urrutia
- 17J. Andrade
- 10M. Aponza
- 34D. Cortes
- 35J. Viveros
- 3Kevin Hurtado
- 20Y. Andrade
- 6L. Pérez
- 12E. Obando
Envigado
4-3-3- 77D. Valencia
- 18G. Mujica
- 7D. Dawson
- 6J. Palacios
- 99Miguel Marulanda
- 19S. Acuña
- 28J. Gamboa
- 15G. Cuervo
- 2D. Palacios
- 5S. Noreña
- 88A. Tovar
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Popayan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Envigado have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Popayan wins, 1 draw, 1 Envigado win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Popayan 2-2 Envigado | Primera B |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Envigado 1-0 Popayan | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Popayan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Envigado score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popayan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Envigado | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Popayan sit 11th in Primera B (38 points from 32 matches) and Envigado sit 2nd (68 points from 40 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Envigado | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 68 |
| 11 | Popayan | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 43 | 38 |
A question about Popayan vs Envigado?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Popayan vs Envigado?
- The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Popayan.
- Where and when is Popayan vs Envigado played?
- Popayan vs Envigado is played on November 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.