Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - Quadrangular - 3Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Ind. Yumbo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Union Magdalena (1,602) and Ind. Yumbo (1,551).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Magdalena
4-3-3- 3D. Mera
- 7R. Blanco
- 9C. Iguarán
- 16O. Surmay
- 19F. Mosquera
- 14J. Farías
- 6D. Ortíz
- 25W. Sagrera
- 18F. Molina
- 2M. Ballesteros
- 34M. Tasso
Ind. Yumbo
4-3-3- 5J. Díaz
- 9A. García
- 7H. Mena
- 17L. Quiñones
- 8T. Diaz
- 20J. Rubiano
- 3D. Ferrer
- 27J. Ampudia
- 4J. Rodriguez
- 15J. Perdomo
- 22J. Méndez
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Magdalena have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Ind. Yumbo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 2-4 | Primera B |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Magdalena win, 1 draw, 0 Ind. Yumbo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 0-2 Union Magdalena | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo on Oct 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Magdalena score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ind. Yumbo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 5/15 |
| Ind. Yumbo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Magdalena sit 3rd in Primera B (63 points from 38 matches) and Ind. Yumbo sit 7th (47 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 52 | 36 | 63 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 47 |
A question about Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Magdalena the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Ind. Yumbo.
- Where and when is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo played?
- Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo is played on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Sierra Nevada, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.