Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Inter Gaz, Popeşti-Leordeni
The Footlab model makes Popești-Leordeni the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Metalul Buzău. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Popești-Leordeni (1,692) and Metalul Buzău (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Popești-Leordeni have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Metalul Buzău have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 4-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 3-2 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
Popești-Leordeni score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popești-Leordeni | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Popești-Leordeni sit 5th in Liga II (8 points from 4 matches) and Metalul Buzău sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău?
- The Footlab model makes Popești-Leordeni the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Metalul Buzău.
- Where and when is Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău played?
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Inter Gaz, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Oct 31, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsUnirea Slobozia
- Oct 31, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsCS Afumati
- Oct 31, 2026CSM ReşiţavsGloria Bistriţa
- Oct 31, 2026SlatinavsConcordia
- Oct 31, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsCS Dinamo București
- Oct 31, 2026DumbrăviţavsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Oct 31, 2026ŞtefăneştivsChindia Targoviste