Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, Buzău
The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC Bacau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Metalul Buzău (1,694) and FC Bacau (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalul Buzău have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FC Bacau have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 2-3 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Metalul Buzău win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Bacau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Metalul Buzău 0-1 FC Bacau | Liga II |
| May 25, 2024 | Metalul Buzău 2-1 FC Bacau | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 22, 2024 | FC Bacau 1-0 Metalul Buzău | Liga III - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Bacau | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalul Buzău sit 8th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and FC Bacau sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?
- The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC Bacau.
- Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau played?
- Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau is played on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026ConcordiavsŞtefăneşti
- Nov 28, 2026Chindia TargovistevsCSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Nov 28, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsAFC Hermannstadt
- Nov 28, 2026MetaloglobusvsCetatea Suceava
- Nov 28, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsBihor Oradea
- Nov 28, 2026CS AfumativsCSM Reşiţa
- Nov 28, 2026Unirea SloboziavsPopești-Leordeni
- Nov 28, 2026Viitorul ŞelimbărvsCSA Steaua Bucureşti