Porreres vs Formentera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Porreres the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Formentera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porreres wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porreres vs Formentera?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Porreres (1,880) and Formentera (1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porreres vs Formentera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porreres
Not enough data to predict the Porreres lineup.
Formentera
Not enough data to predict the Formentera lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porreres have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Formentera have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Porreres wins, 1 draw, 2 Formentera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Formentera 3-1 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 25, 2025 | Formentera 0-2 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Porreres 1-0 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Formentera 1-0 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Porreres 1-1 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Formentera vs Porreres on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porreres score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Formentera score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porreres | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Formentera | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porreres sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (18 points from 10 matches) and Formentera sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Porreres | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | Formentera | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
A question about Porreres vs Formentera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porreres vs Formentera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porreres the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Formentera.
- Where and when is Porreres vs Formentera played?
- Porreres vs Formentera is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.